China's forbearance has limits : Chinese threat and retaliation signaling and its implications for a Sino-American military confrontation / by Paul H.B. Godwin and Alice L. Miller

By: Contributor(s): Language: English Series: China strategic perspectives (National Defense University. Institute for National Strategic Studies) ; no. 6Publication details: Washington, D.C. : National Defense University Press, 2013Description: 109 p. ; 28 cmSubject(s):
Contents:
Executive summary -- Introduction -- The record: Beijing's use of military force -- China's crisis decisionmaking process and crisis management -- Signaling the intent to employ military force- China's warnings calculus -- Signaling case studies- Taiwan -- Analyzing Beijing's signals- things to consider -- Conclusion- a hypothetical South China Sea signalling scenario -- Appendix 1 -- Appendix 2 -- Appendix 3 -- Notes -- Acknowlegments -- About the authors.
Summary: This study assesses the context and motivations of the PRC's use of military force since 1949. It then extracts Beijing's use of its calculus of warning statements in detail from several instances in which it has threatened and, in some cases, actually followed through with the use of military force to resolve a dispute. It offers several points to take into account in watching for and analyzing Beijing's use of this warnings calculus in contemporary contexts, and it offers a hypothetical scenario in which this calculus might appear in the context of China's claims in the South China Sea. -- Excerpted from introduction.
Item type: report
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Holdings
Current library Call number Status Date due Barcode
SIPRI Library and Documentation 327ser Institute Available G14/280

SIP1407

"April, 2013."

"Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University"--Cover.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 105-106).

Executive summary -- Introduction -- The record: Beijing's use of military force -- China's crisis decisionmaking process and crisis management -- Signaling the intent to employ military force- China's warnings calculus -- Signaling case studies- Taiwan -- Analyzing Beijing's signals- things to consider -- Conclusion- a hypothetical South China Sea signalling scenario -- Appendix 1 -- Appendix 2 -- Appendix 3 -- Notes -- Acknowlegments -- About the authors.

This study assesses the context and motivations of the PRC's use of military force since 1949. It then extracts Beijing's use of its calculus of warning statements in detail from several instances in which it has threatened and, in some cases, actually followed through with the use of military force to resolve a dispute. It offers several points to take into account in watching for and analyzing Beijing's use of this warnings calculus in contemporary contexts, and it offers a hypothetical scenario in which this calculus might appear in the context of China's claims in the South China Sea. -- Excerpted from introduction.

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