Forecasting zero : (Record no. 76976)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 03116cam a22003257a 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
| control field | 12532579 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | SE-LIBR |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME | |
| control field | 20120809144741.0 |
| 008 - GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 120206s2011 dcu | f000 0 eng c |
| 020 ## - ISBN | |
| ISBN | 158487516X |
| 020 ## - ISBN | |
| ISBN | 9781584875161 |
| 040 ## - CATALOGUING LIBRARY | |
| Original cataloging library | AWC |
| Modifying library | AWC |
| -- | Sipr |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code | eng |
| 100 1# - AUTHOR | |
| Personal name | Pearl, Jonathan |
| 245 10 - TITLE | |
| Title | Forecasting zero : |
| Subtitle | U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament / |
| Author, etc | Jonathan Pearl |
| 246 3# - ALTERNATIVE TITLE | |
| Title | US nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
| 246 3# - ALTERNATIVE TITLE | |
| Title | United States nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION DATA | |
| Place of publication | Carlisle, PA : |
| Publisher | Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, |
| Year | 2011 |
| 300 ## - PAGES ETC | |
| Pages | x, 57 p. ; |
| Dimensions | 23 cm. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | "November 2011." |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE | |
| About the authors | Includes bibliographical references (p. 41-57). |
| 505 0# - CONTENTS | |
| Contents | American abolitionism : new trick or old pony? (1945-91). Limited dissent for a wartime project -- Shaping the post-war world -- Three important shifts move the United States away from disarmament -- From Kennedy to Carter : the rise of arms control -- A Reagan-era rebirth for disarmament -- Shaping a new world order, or shaped by it? : from Reykjavik to rogue states. New risks and uncertain priorities in the post-Cold War world (1991-2001) -- Disarmament continues its retreat (2001-09) -- A new center or a return to normalcy? : the four horsemen ride to town -- Forecasting the U.S. nuclear future : yes we can (eventually?). The Obama administration : pledges and actions -- Continuity, not revolution -- Guarding your optimism : conceptual roadblocks to disarmament -- Guarding your optimism : structural roadblocks to disarmament -- Conclusion. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY | |
| Summary, etc | A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses both technical and political factors related to abolition, may be the most serious one of its kind since the dawn of the nuclear age, the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy remains uncertain. The general approach advanced today in U.S. policy circles largely hews, after all, to the logic of the past 65 years: arms control and nonproliferation now, disarmament at an undetermined time in the future. Moreover, several conceptual and strategic barriers continue to block serious progress toward U.S. disarmament. By situating the current pro-disarmament rhetoric in this larger historical and strategic context, this monograph argues that there is reason to doubt whether the current push for disarmament will produce meaningful and lasting results. |
| 650 #7 - KEYWORD | |
| Keyword | nuclear weapons |
| Subdivision | nonproliferation |
| -- | nuclear arms control |
| -- | history |
| -- | government |
| -- | nuclear disarmament |
| -- | treaties |
| Geographic subdivision | USA |
| 653 ## - UNCONTROLLED KEYWORD | |
| Uncontrolled keyword | forecasting |
| 710 2# - ADDED INSTITUTION | |
| Institution | US Army War College. |
| Subordinate unit | Strategic Studies Institute, SSI |
| 852 ## - LOCATION | |
| Classification part | 341.67 Pearl |
| 856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION | |
| URI | http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/download.cfm?q=1092 |
| 942 ## - ITEM TYPE (KOHA) | |
| Koha item type | monograph |
| Withdrawn status | Lost status | Damaged status | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Date acquired | Total Checkouts | Full call number | Acquisition no. | Date last seen | Koha item type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIPRI Library and Documentation | SIPRI Library and Documentation | 2012-02-07 | 341.67 Pearl | G12/119 | 2012-02-07 | monograph |