Ethiopia's transition : [electronic resource] implications for the Horn of Africa and Red Sea / Jason Mosley

SIP2023

"March 2020"

This report complements two further SIPRI studies and a policy brief published in 2019 which analysed the evolving foreign military presence in the Horn of Africa and the related external security politics affecting the region. See Melvin. N., ‘The foreign military presence in the Horn of Africa region’, SIPRI Background Paper, Apr. 2019; Melvin, N., ‘Managing the new security politics of the Horn of Africa region’, SIPRI Policy Brief, Apr. 2019; and Melvin, N., ‘The new external security politics of the Horn of Africa region’, SIPRI Insights on Peace and Security, Apr. 2019. SIPRI acknowledges the support of the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs for the research underpinning all three studies. Views remain those of the author.

The report is based on the author’s experience in Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa since the late 1990s, building on research and discussions in Eritrea, Ethiopia and Kenya since 2016 focused on relations between the Arab states of the Gulf and the Horn of Africa. Additional desk research and interviews were carried out in Addis Ababa and Mogadishu during November 2019. Due to the sensitivity of the subject, interviewees have been anonymized.