TY  - BOOK
AU  - Sokolski,Henry D.
ED  - US Army War College.
TI  - The next arms race
T2  - Strategic Studies Institute book
SN  - 1584875348
PY  - 2012///
CY  - Carlisle, PA
PB  - Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College
KW  - nuclear weapons
KW  - arms race
KW  - Asia
KW  - South Asia
KW  - Middle East
KW  - nonproliferation
KW  - government
KW  - forecasting
N1  - "July 2012."; SIP1209; Includes bibliographical references; Overview / Henry D. Sokolski -- Pt. I. Asia. Asian drivers of Russia's nuclear force posture / Jacob W. Kipp -- China's strategic forces in the 21st century : the People's Liberation Army's changing nuclear doctrine and force posture / Michael Mazza and Dan Blumenthal -- Plutonium, proliferation and radioactive-waste politics in East Asia / Frank von Hippel -- China and the emerging strategic competition in aerospace power / Mark Stokes and Ian Easton -- Pt. II. Middle East. The Middle East's nuclear future / Richard L. Russell -- Alternative proliferation futures for North Africa / Bruno Tertrais -- Casting a blind eye : Kissinger and Nixon finesse Israel's bomb / Victor Gilinsky -- Pt. III. South Asia. Nuclear weapons stability or anarchy in the 21st century : China, India, and Pakistan / Thomas W. Graham -- Nuclear missile-related risks in South Asia / R. N. Ganesh -- Prospects for Indian and Pakistani arms control / Feroz Hassan Khan -- Pt. IV. Post-Cold War military science and arms control. To what extent can precision conventional technologies substitute for nuclear weapons? / Stephen J. Lukasik -- Missiles for peace / Henry D. Sokolski -- Missile defense and arms control / Jeff Kueter -- A hardheaded guide to nuclear controls / Henry D. Sokolski
N2  - The New Strategic Arms Reduction Talks (START) agreement was reached in 2011, and both Russia and the United States are bringing nuclear strategic warhead deployments down to roughly 1,500 on each side. In the next round of strategic arms reduction talks, though, U.S. officials hope to cut far deeper; perhaps as low as several hundred warheads on each side -- numbers that approach what other nuclear weapons states, such as France, China, Israel, India, and Pakistan either have or will soon possess. This, then, raises the question how compatible such reductions might be with the nuclear activities of other states. How might Russia view the nuclear and military modernization activities of China? How might the continuing nuclear and military competition between Pakistan and India play out? What might the nuclear dynamics be between North and South Korea, Japan, and China? What might other states interested in developing a nuclear weapons option of their own make of the way the superpowers have so far dealt with the nuclear programs in India, Iraq, Iran, Syria, and North Korea? Are "peaceful" nuclear competitions in the Middle and Far East where states build up civilian nuclear programs to help them develop nuclear weapons options inevitable? What, beyond current nuclear control efforts, might help to reduce such nuclear threats?
UR  - http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/download.cfm?q=1113
ER  -