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005 20131031093444.0
008 120620s2011 pau f000 0 eng c
020 _a9781584875130
020 _a1584875135
040 _aAWC
_dFUG
_dIXA
_dAFQ
_dDEBBG
_dDLC
_dAlb
_dSipr
041 _aeng
100 1 _aKrickus, Richard J
245 1 4 _aThe Afghanistan question and the reset in U.S.-Russian relations /
_cRichard J. Krickus
246 3 _aAfghanistan question and the reset in US-Russian relations
246 3 _aAfghanistan question and the reset in United States-Russian relations
260 _aCarlisle, PA :
_bStrategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College,
_c[2011]
300 _axii, 159 p. ;
_c23 cm
490 1 _aLetort paper ;
_v[no. 52]
500 _a"October 2011." ; SIP1311
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references.
505 0 _aSummary -- Introduction -- The American skeptics -- Russian skeptics -- The American rationale -- The Russian rationale -- The study's objectives -- Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. The decision to invade -- Escalation -- Bringing the Red Army home -- What was happening? -- The U.S. reaction -- The end -- The failure to create a stable post-Soviet government and civil war. The United Nations proposal -- Why the proposal failed -- Washington's and Moscow's failure -- The Taliban and Osama bin Laden. The origins of the Taliban -- Osama bin Laden -- The United States acknowledges bin Laden as a threat -- 9/11 and war against the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. The September 2001 terrorist attacks -- Routing the jihadists -- The Karzai government -- Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda : an assessment -- A partial victory -- Three scenarios. The existing situation or plan A : an unstable but viable Afghanistan through COIN -- The insurgency -- The Karzai government -- Security forces -- The civilian-economic component -- Declining support for the war within the United States -- Pakistan -- Plan B : partition -- A Taliban victory -- The global jihadists prevail -- The Taliban return to power with a national agenda -- The Russian response -- Countering Afghan narcotics -- The struggle over Manas -- The northern distribution network -- Central Asia and the North Caucasus -- Concluding remarks and recommendations. Identifying the enemy : a civil war within Islam -- Making room for the rest -- The American malaise -- Sticking to the 2014 Afghanistan exit schedule -- Preparing for Bonn II -- Plan B : partition -- Preparing for the worst case scenario (Plan C) : a Taliban victory -- Confronting Pakistan -- The time has come to reduce our profile in the Middle East -- Sustaining and enlarging security cooperation with Russia.
520 _aThe ability of the United States and Russia to cooperate in Afghanistan represents a solid test of their reset in relations. The author provides the historical background to the Afghanistan Question and assesses current events in the Afghan war with three objectives in mind: 1) to determine whether Russian-American cooperation in Afghanistan has been successful; 2) to identify and evaluate the successes and failures of the counterinsurgency strategy as the transition from U.S. to Afghanistan authority gains traction in the 2011-14 time frame; and 3) to provide conclusions and recommendations bearing on developments in Afghanistan.
651 0 _aAfghanistan
_xinternal politics
651 0 _aAfghanistan
_xarmed conflicts
651 0 _aUSA
_xforeign policy
_zRussia
710 2 _aArmy War College.
_bStrategic Studies Institute
830 0 _aLetort papers ;
_v[no. 52]
852 _h327ser Strategic
856 4 1 _uhttp://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=1089
942 _cREP
999 _c78308
_d78308