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003			SE-LIBR
005			20190510091819.0
008			190509s2019 dcuab||||b||||001 0|eng|c
020			_a9780815736899
020			_a0815736894
020			_z9780815736905
020			_z9780815736905
040			_aSipr
041			_aeng
100	1		_aO'Hanlon, Michael E.
245	1	4	_aThe Senkaku paradox : _brisking great power war over limited stakes / _cMichael E. O'Hanlon.
246	1	4	_aSenkaku paradox: risking great power war over small stakes
260			_aWashington, DC : _bBrookings Institution Press, _c2019
300			_ax, 258 pages : _billustrations, maps ; _c23 cm
500			_aSIP1905
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505	8		_aIntroduction -- Plausible scenarios -- China and Russia scenarios in 2040 -- Military elements of integrated deterrence -- Integrating economics into war plans -- Conclusion and recommendations -- Appendix 1. The so-called revolution in military affairs, 2000-2020 -- Appendix 2. Forecasting change in military technology, 2020-2040.
520			_a"In recent years, the Pentagon has elevated its concerns about Russia and China as potential military threats to the United States and its allies. But what issues could provoke actual conflict between the United States and either country? And how could such a conflict be contained before it took the world to the brink of thermonuclear catastrophe, as was feared during the cold war? Defense expert Michael O'Hanlon wrestles with these questions in this insightful book, setting them within the broader context of hegemonic change and today's version of great-power competition. The book examines how a local crisis could escalate into a broader and much more dangerous threat to peace. What if, for example, Russia's "little green men" seized control of a community, like Narva or an even smaller town in Estonia, now a NATO ally? Or, what if China seized one of the uninhabited Senkaku islands now claimed and administered by Japan, or imposed a partial blockade of Taiwan? Such threats are not necessarily imminent, but they are far from inconceivable. Washington could be forced to choose, in these and similar cases, between risking major war to reverse the aggression, and appeasing China or Russia in ways that could jeopardize the broader global order. O'Hanlon argues that the United States needs a better range of options for dealing with such risks to peace. He advocates "integrated deterrence," which combines military elements with economic warfare. The military components would feature strengthened forward defenses as well as, possibly, limited military options against Russian or Chinese assets in other theaters."--Provided by publisher.
650		0	_adeterrence
650		0	_anational security _zUSA
650		0	_awar _xeconomics
650		0	_amilitary history
651		0	_aUnited States _xmilitary strategy
651		0	_aRussia _xstrategic
651		0	_aChina _xstrategy
653			_anuclear threshold
653			_aescalation
653			_alimited war
653			_aasymmetric warfare
653			_ageopolitics
653			_agreat powers
653			_aaggression
852			_h355 O'Hanlon
942			_cMONO
999			_c79770 _d79770